Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 37.63%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 31.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-2 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.