SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
50.52% ( 0.25) | 24.61% ( -0) | 24.87% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.19) | 49.22% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.17) | 71.28% ( 0.17) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.03) | 19.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( 0.05) | 51.36% ( -0.05) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( -0.32) | 34.28% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( -0.34) | 70.98% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.51% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.87% |
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