SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for KTP had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest KTP win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
37.76% ( -6.08) | 23.86% ( 0.44) | 38.37% ( 5.65) |
| Both teams to score 62% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.81% ( -1.17) | 40.19% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( -1.22) | 62.56% ( 1.22) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -3.24) | 21.41% ( 3.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -5.25) | 54.41% ( 5.25) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( 2.44) | 21.11% ( -2.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( 3.66) | 53.94% ( -3.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.65) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.85)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.82)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.78)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.53)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.45)Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.8) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.84)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.99)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.68)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.37)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.32)Other @ 2.77% Total : 38.37% |
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