SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
45.8% ( -0.22) | 24.69% ( 0.06) | 29.51% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.18) | 46.37% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.17) | 68.65% ( 0.18) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( -0.17) | 20.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.29% ( -0.27) | 52.71% ( 0.28) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( 0.03) | 29.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( 0.03) | 65.15% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.51% |
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