SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Club Brugge |
42.9% ( 1.58) | 25.36% ( -0.13) | 31.74% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( 0.13) | 48.3% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( 0.12) | 70.45% ( -0.11) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.83) | 22.45% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( 1.22) | 55.99% ( -1.21) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.87) | 28.66% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( -1.1) | 64.48% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.74% |
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