Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.68) 
-0.39) 
