SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
54.07% ( 0.26) | 22.21% ( -0.12) | 23.72% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.3% ( 0.41) | 39.7% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.94% ( 0.42) | 62.05% ( -0.43) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( 0.23) | 14.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.13% ( 0.43) | 42.87% ( -0.44) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( 0.1) | 30.07% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.79% ( 0.13) | 66.2% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 23.72% |
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