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Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Anfield
PL

Liverpool
0 - 1
PSG

PSG win 4-1 on penalties

Mac Allister (90+2'), Mac Allister (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Dembele (12')
Marquinhos (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%).

Result
LiverpoolDrawParis Saint-Germain
48.04% (-0.152 -0.15) 23.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 28.09% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.22% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (-0.145 -0.14)43.54% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (-0.141 -0.14)65.94% (0.143 0.14)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.113 -0.11)18.27% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.197 -0.2)49.33% (0.198 0.2)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.6%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 48.04%
    Paris Saint-Germain 28.09%
    Draw 23.87%
LiverpoolDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.04%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 28.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, February 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Rennes 1-4 PSG
Saturday, March 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lille
Saturday, March 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Stade Briochin 0-7 PSG
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 PSG
Sunday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 7-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 19 at 8pm in Champions League


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