SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
35.39% ( 1.88) | 25.83% ( 0.6) | 38.77% ( -2.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -2.34) | 49.53% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -2.14) | 71.56% ( 2.13) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.01) | 26.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( 0.02) | 62.33% ( -0.03) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -2.32) | 25.07% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( -3.32) | 59.76% ( 3.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
