SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Southampton |
27.74% ( 0.03) | 23.76% ( 0.01) | 48.51% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.73% ( -0.05) | 43.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.33% ( -0.04) | 65.67% ( 0.04) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -0) | 28.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( -0) | 64.74% ( 0) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.03) | 17.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% ( -0.06) | 48.84% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.74% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.51% |
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