SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
44.33% ( 0.18) | 25.58% ( -0) | 30.08% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% ( -0.07) | 49.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% ( -0.06) | 71.89% ( 0.06) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.06) | 22.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.08) | 55.99% ( -0.08) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.16) | 30.59% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -0.2) | 66.83% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.09% |
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