SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
41.96% ( -0.14) | 25.3% ( 0.04) | 32.74% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.15) | 47.72% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.14) | 69.91% ( 0.14) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( -0.13) | 22.65% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.72% ( -0.19) | 56.28% ( 0.2) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.01) | 27.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( -0.01) | 63.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.74% |
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