SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
74.22% ( -1.7) | 16.06% ( 0.81) | 9.72% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.68% ( -0.94) | 38.31% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.4% ( -1) | 60.6% ( 1) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.16% ( -0.61) | 8.83% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.73% ( -1.5) | 30.27% ( 1.5) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.13% ( 1.24) | 46.87% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.61% ( 0.93) | 82.38% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 2-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.72% 6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.16)Other @ 4.07% Total : 74.2% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.06% | 0-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.51% Total : 9.72% |
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