Last Game: Paysandu 0-1 Bahia Thursday, May 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Paysandu had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Paysandu win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.06) 
