SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Palmeiras |
39.05% ( 0.12) | 24.07% ( 0.09) | 36.87% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.48) | 41.26% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( -0.48) | 63.66% ( 0.48) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( -0.15) | 21.25% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( -0.23) | 54.17% ( 0.23) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.33) | 22.34% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( -0.49) | 55.82% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivar | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.87% |
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