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E
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 0
Carabobo

Cetre (10'), Gimenez Alanda (24')
Medina (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 3-2 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universidad 4-0 Carabobo
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Estudiantes 3-0 Carabobo

The hosts are undoubtedly the superior side, as shown in their dominance in the first encounter, and we expect Estudiantes to secure another commanding victory over Carabobo on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.91%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawCarabobo
67.57% (-0.155 -0.16) 21.27% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 11.16% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 37.46% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)56.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.22% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)15.86% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (-0.109 -0.11)45.06% (0.11 0.11)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.53% (0.158 0.16)55.47% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.84% (0.096 0.1)88.16% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 67.56%
    Carabobo 11.16%
    Draw 21.27%
EstudiantesDrawCarabobo
1-0 @ 16.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 14.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.16% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 67.56%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.27%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 3-2 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Rosario 2-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Universidad 0-3 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 4-0 Estudiantes
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-0 Tigre
Monday, April 28 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Botafogo
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universidad 4-0 Carabobo
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Carabobo 1-2 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Carabobo 1-1 Universidad
Wednesday, April 23 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Carabobo
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Carabobo 0-2 Estudiantes
Tuesday, April 1 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Carabobo 1-1 Metropolitanos (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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