Already assured of first place, River have little to play for - perhaps with the exception of pride, after slumping out of the Argentinian Apertura playoffs.
La U's need for points is more acute, so they could battle their way to a low-scoring draw, getting them over the line and into the Copa Libertadores knockouts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
