Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Huancayo
ADT win 5-4 on penalties
Cedron (67')
Cedron (49'), Narvaez (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Choi (90+2' og.)
Gonzalez (34'), Romagnoli (41'), Estrada (78'),
Galeano (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between ADT and Cienciano.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADT win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADT win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| ADT | Draw | Cienciano |
67.89% ( 0.89) | 19.15% ( -0.39) | 12.96% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.15) |
| 56.31% ( 0.56) | 43.69% ( -0.56) |
| 33.92% ( 0.55) | 66.08% ( -0.55) |
| 88.14% ( 0.41) | 11.86% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.87) | 37.14% ( -0.87) |
| 55.38% ( -0.43) | 44.62% ( 0.43) |
