There is very little chance of a second-leg fightback from Empoli, who have clearly signalled their intent to prioritise Serie A survival.
Bologna, meanwhile, will aim to get the job done with the minimum of fuss, as they save energy for the final phase of their top-four push.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
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