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Czech Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion Strelnice

Jablonec
5 - 0
MFK Karvina

Cedidla (23'), Jawo (31'), Holly (54'), Alegue (67'), Kanakimana (89')
Holly (45+4'), Tekijaski (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Planka (15'), Sigut (36'), Cavos (45+4')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between FK Baumit Jablonec and MFK Karvina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceske Budejovice 2-3 Jablonec
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: MFK Karvina 2-3 Sparta Prague
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Baumit Jablonec win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Baumit Jablonec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a MFK Karvina win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Baumit Jablonec would win this match.

Result
FK Baumit JablonecDrawMFK Karvina
56.31% (-0.132 -0.13) 22.11% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.57% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.05% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (0.244 0.24)41.81% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (0.244 0.24)64.22% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (0.043000000000006 0.04)14.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (0.076000000000001 0.08)42.87% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
MFK Karvina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (0.27500000000001 0.28)33.13% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (0.302 0.3)69.73% (-0.298 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    FK Baumit Jablonec 56.31%
    MFK Karvina 21.57%
    Draw 22.11%
FK Baumit JablonecDrawMFK Karvina
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 56.31%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ceske Budejovice 2-3 Jablonec
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Jablonec 4-2 Slovacko
Sunday, February 9 at 12pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Jablonec 0-1 Bohemians 1905
Sunday, February 2 at 2.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Jablonec
Sunday, December 15 at 12pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Jablonec 2-1 Dukla Prague
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Jablonec 5-0 Ceske Budejovice
Wednesday, December 4 at 4.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: MFK Karvina 2-3 Sparta Prague
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: MFK Karvina 1-1 Teplice
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Bohemians 1905 3-3 MFK Karvina
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: MFK Karvina 1-2 Plzen
Sunday, December 8 at 12pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 4-1 MFK Karvina
Tuesday, December 3 at 6pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Banik Ostrava 2-1 MFK Karvina
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Czech Liga


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