SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
52.73% ( -0.16) | 22.61% ( -0) | 24.65% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.19) | 40.62% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 0.19) | 63.01% ( -0.19) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( 0.01) | 15.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( 0.02) | 44.33% ( -0.02) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.24) | 29.82% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.29) | 65.9% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.75% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 24.65% |
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