SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Qarabag FK |
56.34% ( -0.14) | 22.46% ( 0.02) | 21.2% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( 0.06) | 43.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( 0.06) | 66.22% ( -0.05) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( -0.03) | 15.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.83% ( -0.05) | 44.17% ( 0.05) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.14) | 34.62% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( 0.15) | 71.35% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.2% |
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