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Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
AA

Spurs
3 - 1
AZ

Odobert (26', 74'), Maddison (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koopmeiners (63')
Clasie (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Bournemouth
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawAZ Alkmaar
34.07% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 22.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 43.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 67.54% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.29% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)32.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14%19.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)15.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)44.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 34.07%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.67%
    Draw 22.25%
Tottenham HotspurDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.07%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.98%
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 43.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Bournemouth
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 1-4 Spurs
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, February 9 at 5.35pm in FA Cup
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 AZ
Sunday, March 2 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Sittard
Sunday, February 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-2 AZ
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: AZ 4-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Europa League


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