SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gillingham.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Fylde |
44.95% ( 0.17) | 24.73% ( -0.02) | 30.32% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( 0.03) | 46.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( 0.03) | 68.44% ( -0.03) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.09) | 20.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( 0.14) | 53.15% ( -0.13) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.08) | 28.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( -0.1) | 64.32% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.32% |
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