SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
46.82% ( -0.4) | 23.57% ( 0.24) | 29.6% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.78% ( -1.05) | 41.22% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( -1.08) | 63.62% ( 1.08) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -0.56) | 17.85% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( -0.97) | 48.61% ( 0.98) |
| Maccabi Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -0.42) | 26.55% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -0.57) | 61.75% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.6% |
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