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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Hapoel Haifa win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
19.92% ( 0.14) | 20.43% ( 0.16) | 59.64% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.79% ( -0.56) | 36.21% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.67% ( -0.61) | 58.33% ( 0.61) |
| Hapoel Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.19) | 31.46% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( -0.22) | 67.84% ( 0.22) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( -0.25) | 11.88% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.81% ( -0.55) | 37.19% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.45% Total : 59.64% |
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