Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-3.51) 
0.28) 
