Alaves will be the fresher of the two teams, and they do not concede many at home, shipping only eight in their seven La Liga fixtures this term; Athletic have travelled back from Turkey for this one, so preparations will be difficult, but we are still expecting Valverde's side to put another victory on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
30.08% ( -0.07)	29.28% ( -0.07)	40.63% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 43.12% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.51% (

0.22)

63.49% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.18% (

0.15)

82.82% (

-0.15)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.21% (

0.07)

37.79% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.44% (

0.06)

74.56% (

-0.06)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

0.19)

30.68% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

0.23)

66.93% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Alaves 30.08%

Athletic Bilbao 40.63%

Draw 29.28%

Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.08%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 40.63%