SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 56.27%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Madrid |
56.27% ( -0.97) | 20.28% ( 0.37) | 23.44% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 66.45% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.31% ( -1.09) | 30.68% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.99% ( -1.3) | 52% ( 1.3) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.59) | 11.05% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.6% ( -1.32) | 35.4% ( 1.32) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.16) | 25.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( -0.22) | 60.05% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.27% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.46% Total : 20.28% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
