Leganes have only lost four of their 12 away league games this season, while Real Sociedad have posted just five victories from their 12 home La Liga fixtures - it would not be a surprise to see a draw on Sunday, but we believe that Real Sociedad's extra quality will allow them to secure all three points this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
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