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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
CV

Valencia
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Rioja (44'), Guerra (68')
Barrenechea (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duran Fernandez (65')
Moriba (67'), Starfelt (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 7-1 Valencia
Sunday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo

This is a really important match for Valencia, as there has to be a response from the defeat at Barcelona, and we are expecting Los Che to record a narrow victory against a Celta outfit that will be missing a number of important players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
34.52% (-1.023 -1.02) 26.34% (-0.398 -0.4) 39.13% (1.416 1.42)
Both teams to score 52.89% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (1.531 1.53)51.79% (-1.536 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (1.31 1.31)73.56% (-1.315 -1.32)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.11499999999999 0.11)28.6% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.144 0.14)64.4% (-0.149 -0.15)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (1.503 1.5)25.92% (-1.509 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (1.99 1.99)60.92% (-1.995 -2)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 34.52%
    Celta Vigo 39.12%
    Draw 26.33%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.52%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.262 0.26)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.171 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.138 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 7-1 Valencia
Sunday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Ourense CF 0-2 Valencia
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Eldense 0-2 Valencia
Tuesday, January 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid
Friday, January 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo
Monday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, January 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Racing 2-3 Celta Vigo
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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