SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Cork City win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | Derry City |
25.53% ( -0.11) | 25.87% ( 0.11) | 48.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% ( -0.48) | 53.73% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.79% ( -0.41) | 75.21% ( 0.42) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.36) | 36.16% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.37) | 72.94% ( 0.38) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0.19) | 22.13% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% ( -0.3) | 55.5% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.53% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.59% |
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