While both teams have faced challenging starts to 2024-25, the visitors look as if they are starting to pick up form with two successive wins heading into this one, suggesting a win for Brest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
-0.21) 
0.24) 
