SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
24.34% ( -1.46) | 23.33% ( -0.47) | 52.33% ( 1.92) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( 0.74) | 44.17% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( 0.71) | 66.55% ( -0.71) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( -0.79) | 31.99% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( -0.91) | 68.45% ( 0.91) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.11% ( 0.99) | 16.89% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.07% ( 1.73) | 46.92% ( -1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.34% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.33% |
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