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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
BL

Nice
6 - 0
Brest

Guessand (16'), Laborde (19', 75'), Bouanani (28' pen.), Moffi (82'), Abdi (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Locko (26'), Lees-Melou (33'), Ndiaye (48'), Magnetti (62'), Balde (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Lille
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-0 Brest

Despite the defeat at Rennes last weekend, Nice remain in a good place and should be confident of putting Brest to the sword on home soil. Le Gym are one victory away from returning to the Champions League, meaning that motivation should be at an all-time high for the hosts at Allianz Riviera. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawBrest
59.8% (0.451 0.45) 21.08% (-0.152 -0.15) 19.12% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (0.24 0.24)40.53% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (0.246 0.25)62.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (0.212 0.21)13.19% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (0.426 0.43)39.91% (-0.423 -0.42)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-0.169 -0.17)34.81% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (-0.179 -0.18)71.54% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nice 59.8%
    Brest 19.12%
    Draw 21.08%
NiceDrawBrest
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.4% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 59.8%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 19.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Reims
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-3 Nice
Friday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Angers
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Nice
Saturday, April 12 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Nantes
Friday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Lille
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Brest
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 3-3 Brest
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 5 at 6pm in Ligue 1


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