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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
LL

Toulouse
1 - 1
Lens

Gboho (47')
Donnum (63'), Casseres Jr (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Aynaoui (61')
Thomasson (51'), Medina (57'), Mendy (60'), Said (87'), Zaroury (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Lens

After standout victories at Lyon and Brest recently, Lens should be confident of repeating the trick on the road once again this weekend. Toulouse have struggled on their own turf this calendar year and are likely to suffer a 15th defeat of the league campaign on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawLens
33.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.5% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)48.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.017999999999997 0.02)70.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.14% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.016000000000005 0.02)23.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.38% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 33.46%
    Lens 41.04%
    Draw 25.49%
ToulouseDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lille
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-4 Brest
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-4 Auxerre
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-2 Reims
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 St Etienne
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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