Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star would win this match.
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