SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
57.2% ( -0.04) | 22.01% ( 0) | 20.79% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.64% ( 0.05) | 42.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.24% ( 0.05) | 64.76% ( -0.05) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( 0.01) | 14.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.32% ( 0.01) | 42.67% ( -0.01) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.07) | 34.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( 0.07) | 70.87% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.36% 3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 57.2% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 20.79% |
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