SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Diego |
72.4% ( -0.15) | 16.45% ( 0.08) | 11.15% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.19) | 35.74% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.18% ( -0.21) | 57.82% ( 0.21) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.39% ( -0.08) | 8.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.28% ( -0.2) | 29.72% ( 0.2) |
| San Diego Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( -0) | 42.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( -0) | 78.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Diego |
| 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 72.4% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.45% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 11.15% |
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