SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
47.08% ( -0.58) | 24.87% ( 0.22) | 28.06% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( -0.73) | 47.97% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( -0.68) | 70.14% ( 0.68) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.54) | 20.43% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( -0.86) | 52.87% ( 0.86) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.12) | 31.07% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -0.13) | 67.39% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.06% |
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