Cincinnati fans are sick of the sight of stalemates now, but most would most likely accept a draw versus the Eastern Conference leaders, whose penchant for goals should become apparent here. Carving their way through a leaky Orange and Blue backline should be an easy ask for the Union, who also have the defensive nous to end the hosts' unbeaten run at the TQL Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
36.03% ( 0.07)	25.46% ( 0.16)	38.51% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.2% (

-0.7)

47.8% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.01% (

-0.65)

69.99% (

0.64)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-0.29)

25.8% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-0.39)

60.75% (

0.39)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57% (

-0.43)

24.43% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14% (

-0.62)

58.86% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 36.03%

Philadelphia Union 38.51%

Draw 25.45%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.03%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.51%