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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
32.56% ( -1.19) | 23.72% ( -0.21) | 43.71% ( 1.39) |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( 0.61) | 40.51% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( 0.62) | 62.89% ( -0.62) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0.4) | 24.36% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( -0.57) | 58.76% ( 0.56) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.85) | 18.83% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( 1.4) | 50.27% ( -1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.44% Total : 43.71% |
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