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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
64.92% ( 0.29) | 19.44% ( -0.07) | 15.64% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( -0.1) | 39.12% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( -0.11) | 61.45% ( 0.11) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( 0.05) | 11.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.99% ( 0.1) | 36.01% ( -0.1) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.34) | 37.96% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% ( -0.33) | 74.73% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.15% Total : 64.91% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.64% |
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