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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
53% ( 0.06) | 23.11% ( -0.04) | 23.9% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( 0.2) | 43.63% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( 0.2) | 66.02% ( -0.19) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0.1) | 16.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.86% ( 0.17) | 46.14% ( -0.16) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.1) | 32.07% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.11) | 68.54% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.9% |
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