SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Nashville SC |
55.73% ( 0.04) | 23.14% ( 0.01) | 21.13% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.13) | 46.88% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.12) | 69.13% ( 0.12) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( -0.03) | 16.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( -0.06) | 46.51% ( 0.06) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.12) | 36.41% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( -0.13) | 73.2% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.73% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.13% |
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