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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
31.31% ( -0.04) | 25.19% ( 0.01) | 43.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.05) | 47.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.05) | 69.91% ( 0.05) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.05) | 28.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( -0.06) | 64.47% ( 0.06) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.01) | 21.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( -0.01) | 55.19% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.49% |
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