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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 1
Korona Kielce

Szmyt (12')
Dabrowski (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Trojak (90+3')
Resta Tell (74')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Katowice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, March 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, March 7 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawKorona Kielce
40.59% (0.221 0.22) 28.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 30.91% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.32% (-0.112 -0.11)60.68% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.24% (-0.084 -0.08)80.75% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (0.072000000000003 0.07)29.31% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (0.086999999999996 0.09)65.28% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.238 -0.24)35.62% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.245 -0.25)72.39% (0.24199999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 40.59%
    Korona Kielce 30.9%
    Draw 28.49%
Zaglebie LubinDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.44% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 30.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Katowice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, March 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, March 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, February 23 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 Gdansk
Monday, February 17 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, February 10 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, February 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, March 7 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Korona Kielce
Saturday, March 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-0 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, February 22 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Korona Kielce
Friday, February 14 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, February 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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