SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
49.7% ( -0.06) | 21.49% ( 0.06) | 28.8% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 67.48% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.27) | 31.61% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.89% ( -0.32) | 53.11% ( 0.32) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% ( -0.11) | 13.25% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.96% ( -0.24) | 40.04% ( 0.24) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.14) | 22.2% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.38% ( -0.2) | 55.62% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.8% |
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