SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 70.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
70.86% ( -0.04) | 17.86% ( 0.05) | 11.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.85% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( -0.21) | 42.15% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( -0.21) | 64.56% ( 0.2) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.36% ( -0.07) | 10.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.52% ( -0.15) | 34.48% ( 0.15) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.13) | 46.45% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.93% ( -0.1) | 82.07% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.85% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.86% | 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.28% |
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