SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.87%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Leicester City |
81.87% ( -0.56) | 11.03% ( 0.19) | 7.1% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( 1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.54) | 21.19% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.22% ( 0.75) | 39.78% ( -0.75) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.15% ( 0.02) | 3.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.61% ( 0.06) | 16.39% ( -0.06) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( 1.42) | 39.45% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( 1.29) | 76.14% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Leicester City |
| 3-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.13)6-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.09)7-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)7-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)6-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.75% Total : 81.87% | 1-1 @ 4.6% 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 11.03% | 1-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.46% Total : 7.1% |
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